Tuesday, April 24, 2007


Prices to drop slightly...
Nothing to get excited over when "supply and demand" are manipulated
Looks like consumers in Newfoundland and Labrador will see some kind of relief, but it's nothing to get excited over...
Gasoline should drop by something in the order of 6/10ths of a cent while stove oils should drop somewhere in the order of 3/4 of a cent on a litre.
Continuing draws against inventories, consumer demand are among the factors. Look as well to Nigeria, Iraq, Iran and the list goes on...
Look at refiner capacity though, when you think about draws on inventory. I look at those numbers from the Energy Information Administration on a regular basis and what they see is not what is reported to the consumer in such a way as to be understood.
There is a "fine line"...
See...It's like this. When I see that refiner capacity is down and I see that the consumer is drawing on present refined inventory, it's only normal to assume that pricing on any product will go up. In this case, I think that Big Oil knows that and plays with "capacity" on a regular basis.
Why wouldn't they?...
If you knew that everyone would pay more for a product if you slowed down production, wouldn't you slow production? That means you could save on labour, electrical costs and, in general improve on your bottom line-your shareholders would love you for it.
You know that the world is thirsty and you know that you have what they want. If you can hide behind the excuse of "maintenance" then why not? Seems like refinery maintenance takes longer than it used to. It's been several weeks now and no great increase in "capacity".
Either way we look at it, the rules of "supply and demand" have been successfully manipulated and there's no Competition Act in Canada to protect the consumer from that.
Regards!
George

No comments: