Tuesday, December 02, 2008

Prices keep dropping
Gasoline and heating oil prices to see further retreat

Media release

Conception Bay South, NL, December 2, 2008- Consumers in Newfoundland and Labrador will see prices for most petroleum products drop again this Thursday. Oil prices and its related refined commodity prices, continue their slide in the face of worsening economic news and the failure of OPEC to address a market oversupply.

“Prices for gasoline are expected to see another 3.2 cents a litre down this Thursday while heating and stove oils are expected to drop a further 4.2 cents a litre. That number may be slightly off the mark for winter heating oils as they are now subject to a winter heating blend of #2 and jet fuel but, it should be a good indicator of the direction pricing will be taking. Diesel fuels are expected to drop another 1.2 cents a litre”, said George Murphy of the Consumer Group for Fair Gas Prices.

“OPEC has so far, failed to address any over-supply of oil in the market as they did in the run-up to production cuts in the late 90’s. Their failure to cut back on production led to oil prices that hit near $11.00 US a barrel. It was only when oil hit rock bottom that OPEC instituted a round of cuts that saw oil prices rebound. If this is another scenario like this being played out, then there may be no end to the drop in oil prices and there could be some grave consequences to some aspects of the offshore oil industry. It may be good for the consumer however, and that is a positive thing that will also help motivate economic recovery. OPEC will have a regular meeting on December 17th that will, I believe, contain the news of further cuts to production to help stem the fall of oil prices but, it may be ‘too little, too late”.

“Inventory data out of the United States still shows good building of inventories of gasoline as consumer demand remains crimped by bad economic news. This is another week of gasoline inventory gain and only very slight inventory draws of distillate that still is supplying some means of support to heating oil and diesel prices. If inventory starts to build there, we could see further slippage in distillate pricing before the onset of winter.

“Interesting facts are apparent here at today’s price. Spot prices for gasoline are now almost 9 cents a litre cheaper than what they were on May 19th, 2005 while, heating oil prices were almost six cents a litre cheaper than today. Oil on that date was priced at $46.93 against yesterday’s close of $46.96 a US barrel. The retail gasoline price on that date was 99.9 a litre in the immediate St. John’s area. The last time we saw prices below 90 cents a litre at the pumps was the week of January 15th, 2005.”

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For more information, contact;

George Murphy
Group researcher/Member
Consumer Group for Fair Gas Prices
gasprices@hotmail.com

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