Tuesday, November 10, 2020

Price changes for Thursday, November 12th, 2020

 

Hi to all,

 

Here’s what I have for price changes for this week:

 

*Heating and stove oil to increase by 1.8 cents a litre.

*Diesel fuel to increase by 2.2 cents a litre, and...

*Gasoline to increase by 1.4 cents a litre.

 

Market highlights

 

Pfizer’s treatment weighs

A new treatment for Covid-19 announced by Pfizer on Sunday helped power up oil and refined prices this week as the treatment, reported to be ninety percent effective, will allow for the economy to return to some form of normalcy sometime in the early part of the new year.

     Transportation-related industries like airlines and cruise companies saw stocks well up, and oil as well as refined up on future anticipated demand while the recovery happens.

      Oil prices rose sharply by $3.50 a barrel to sit at $43 US for Brent.

 

Biden win also raises oil-for now

A Biden win has also caused a rise with oil prices, with the industry more optimistic that the Biden presidency will bring in more regulations on fracking, and also turn attention to more alternatives.

     The fracking industry is what is behind the US meteoric increase in US domestic production of oil and gas, at least until the start of the pandemic.

 

Unique situation could develop for refiners

A unique situation where not enough refining will be available in the industry, leaving shortages of most fuels could develop in the North American markets if refineries stay closed even while the economy returns after covid-19.

     The US northeast has already lost well over 700,000 barrels a day of refinery production with at least four other refineries talking about possible closure if demand continues to falter. The latest refinery closure happened in Paulsboro, New Jersey last week.

      If the economy does recover quickly with the advent of the covid-19 vaccine, then demand could increase prices sharply to consumers, even though oil prices remain lower. However, any drop in demand from present levels may also continue with refinery closures.

     In a strategic sense, then it is easy to see why it may be really important to get a new operator for the North Atlantic facility in Placentia Bay.

 

US inventory data

The latest US EIA inventory data shows a drop in crude this week, losing eight million barrels. Gasoline was the only fuel to show an increase with 1.5 million barrels of stock added.

     Distillates dropped 1.6 million on 75.3 percent refiner capacity.

     US domestic production dropped 600,000 barrels to 10.5 million barrels a day.

 

That’s it for this week!

 

Regards,

 

George Murphy

Twitter @GeorgeMurphyOil  

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