Tuesday, April 13, 2021

Price changes for Thursday, April 15th, 2021

Hi to all,

 

Here’s what I have for this week’s price changes:

 

*Heating and stove oil shows no change to prices.

*Diesel shows an increase of 2/10ths of a cent, and...

*Gasoline shows a drop of a penny a litre.

 

Market highlights

 

Oxford Institute for Energy Studies: No oil supercycle

The Oxford Institute has come out saying not to expect an oil supercycle of prices ranging to $100 a barrel.

     The energy studies organisation joins with the International Energy Agency in it’s thinking that lower demand with a slower than expected economic recovery worldwide, a slower vaccine rollout, and an increase in shutdowns due to covid are cited as reasons why.

     They go on to cite that oil prices will remain anywhere between $59 and $69 US for the rest of 2021 and 2022.

 

Come by Chance refinery sale close?

As yet unconfirmed, but sources are telling me that the possible sale of the Come By Chance refinery could be close.

     Holding up any agreement is the sale of the tank farm complex and retail operations owned by Silverpeak and North Atlantic Refining.

     I have also heard that the potential sale would involve production from the refinery amounting to 40,000 barrels a day of crude with the remainder being oil from recycling and renewable manufacturing of oil products.

    As late as February, Reuters reported on the potential sale of the refinery between Cresta Fund Management, North Atlantic Refining Limited and Silverpeak.

    The Newfoundland and Labrador government gave NARL $16.6 million to keep the refinery in warm idle mode.

    The refinery has been shuttered since last March when demand for product crashed due to Covid-19 that shuttered shuttered over 1.7 million barrels of production a day worldwide with more closures, shutdowns and conversions to renewable fuels in the mix.

    Possibly delaying any sale of the refinery is a third wave of covid-19 worldwide that promises to bring lower demand along with it.

    Also, as late as February the International Energy Agency said that the world remains with too much refining capacity with 102 million barrels a day and a world market that requires 80 million barrels in 2021.

 

US EIA inventories

The latest inventory report from the Energy Information Administration showed another draw on inventories as crude supplies dropped 3.5 million barrels.

     Gasoline inventories increased by four million barrels and distillates also climbed by 1.5 million barrels.

     Refiner capacity was recorded at 84 percent.

     US domestic production was reported at 10.9 million barrels a day.

 

That’s it for this week!

 

Regards,

 

George Murphy

Twitter @GeorgeMurphyOil   

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