Wednesday, March 28, 2012

Gasoline tracks upwards again

Distillates drop

Media release

Conception Bay South, NL, March 27, 2012 – Consumers in Newfoundland and Labrador will see prices at the pumps increase again this week as the traditional build-up to the summer driving season sees investors signal the approach of warmer weather. That news comes from George Murphy, group researcher for the consumer group for Fair Gas Prices.

Nine cents off the record

“Gasoline prices on the New York Mercantile Exchange averaged close to 82.8 cents a litre last week, compared to this week’s 86.11 cents a litre. The difference here is coming to a pump near you,” Murphy said. “It means that consumers will pay close to 3.8 cents a litre more by Thursday morning, and this one hurts with prices for regular hitting $1.44 a litre for the regulated maximum price, if the numbers work out right.”

“Distillate prices are down this week, but barely, as the focus of investors has been seen to switch from the winter heating oil demand season to a focus by investors in transportation fuels. Heating and stove oils show a drop of 1.11 cents a litre, while diesel fuel is projected to drop by a mere 6/10ths, but even that gives you the scope of how much resistance there is to any downward movement in distillate prices. Investors are reluctant to show their hand. But with the coming of the end of winter in the US northeast, the writing was on the wall for winter heating oil prices, and hence, the drop in distillate prices.

“How high prices will go are going to depend on how demand for gasoline plays out in the next month leading up to the US Memorial Day weekend. Consumers are going to have to conserve and make their collective voices heard by making an impact on inventories. Right now, demand is about two percent higher than the same timeframe last year, so prices are moving up along with demand. Consumers will have to send a collective message unless the effects of high energy prices start telling on the economies of business first.”

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For more information, contact;

George Murphy

Group researcher

Consumer Group for Fair Gas Prices

Tuesday, March 20, 2012

Gasoline moves higher

Hi to all,

Short and sweet again this week. There’s just not enough days in the week to get a full synopsis done on oil these days.

Here’s what I have for this week’s price changes:

  • · Heating and stove oils show an added 16/100ths of a cent.
  • Diesel prices show 6/10ths of a cent up, and...
  • Gasoline shows an added 2.2 cents a litre upwards.

Oil prices showed an increase of close on $3 US a barrel this week, before today’s sudden drop back to $105.00US a barrel. While oil prices showed a retreat, the same did not show in my numbers for refined commodities. US spot prices actually climbed from $3.12.20 a US gallon to Tuesday’s $3.20.06 a US gallon, with the average, of course, coming as an increase to both US and Canadian consumers.

That’s it for now,

Regards,

George Murphy

Group researcher

Consumer Group for Fair Gas Prices

Twitter: @GeorgeMurphyNDP

Tuesday, March 06, 2012

Numbers down

Oil: To drop further?

Media release

Conception Bay South, NL, March 6, 2012- Consumers will see a slight drop in fuel prices this week as renewed concerns over consumer demand and the Greek financial crisis again have entered the investor markets. That news comes from George Murphy, group researcher for the consumer Group for Fair Gas Prices and MHA for the district of St. John’s East.

“Consumers will see the result of investor worries entering the markets again this week, and all in spite of escalating war talk against Iran and its stance on its nuclear programming. However, the European Union has offered to restart negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program, and that helped spark the slide. Numbers here show a drop of 2.24 cents a litre for heating and stove oil users is on the way for Thursday, while diesel numbers show a drop of an even two cents a litre,” Murphy said.

“Gasoline is projected to drop by 2.5 cents a litre as well with the market retreat. We have oil down by four dollars a barrel over the last week on an increased worry over a possible Greek default on the European Union bailout. March 20th is fast approaching when the Greeks have to make their first payment on their loans, and that’s making investors as well as the banking sectors nervous.”

“Add to all this, the fact that the American Petroleum Institute also reported a 4.5 million barrel build in oil inventories this week that may be signifying a drop in demand for oil. The real news should come from the Energy Information Administration tomorrow when they report on overall oil and gasoline inventories. If those numbers show a build, then we could be looking at an extended retreat in oil prices that could translate into further consumer relief. Here’s hoping!”

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For more information, contact;

George Murphy

Group researcher

Consumer Group for Fair Gas Prices

Twitter: @GeorgeMurphyNDP

Wednesday, February 29, 2012

Muskrat Falls Review
Written submission presente
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The following is a written submission I have made concerning the Muskrat Falls project. I wrote it on the basis of the consumer perspective, and what it could mean to consumers IF those options were looked at in scrutinizing the deal.

Frankly, I'm worried...

It's not that I would be against the project, IF all the options had been put on the table. That's the problem I have with it. So, excuse me if I wander away from the "gas thing" for just this once. I hope I wrote this clear enough that you will understand the perspective I was shooting for. We're supposed to be living, after all, in a world where the consumer is supposed to dictate. It just hasn't been that way for a while now, has it?...

COPY

Dear sir or madam,

I would at first like to thank the Public Utilities board for their work, albeit under a stressful timeframe and with the limited resources that you have been given. It must be hard to live up to expectations at times given the limited time-frame you have to perform your work.

I have had some experience dealing with energy issues, particularly on a consumer perspective. It is in this perspective that I write to the Board.

The purpose of this presentation is to present my views of the Muskrat falls proposal, and what consumers could be missing. Even though these thoughts are outside the scope of your work, I feel they should be entered into the public record.

I feel that, in not choosing other options as the scope of the proposal into new energy for the province, that the consumer’s best interests have not been served, and that the province is missing out on other opportunities. My views are my own in this regard.

No natural Gas option

The fact of the matter is that natural gas was not considered in looking for other options in the supply of power to the province, and it is in this regard that I feel that the province should hold back until this option has been analyzed. Natural gas, as we know, can be used for the generation of electricity and it is currently cheap, in plentiful supply, and as the markets are predicting, will continue to be for at least ten years because of a build in the overall supply inventory.

Currently, as of February 29, 2012, Nova Scotia consumers are paying the rough equivalent of 4.7 cents a kilowatt hour for electricity, 50.1 cents a litre equivalent for heating oil and 33.3 cents a litre for propane. http://www.heritagegas.com/residential/residential-rates.html

It’s not just the fact that natural gas is available in quantity that should make it attractive. When it comes to the use of natural gas as a viable energy source, the province should also be looking at bringing in natural gas as an anchor to bring the gas to the North American marketplace. Whatever we don’t use for domestic electrical production, or for central heating for homes, we could be sending it further by connection to Nova Scotia’s present lines to the North American natural gas grid. It is estimated that Nova scotia’s natural gas only has another eight years of expectancy, so, we know they have to find alternative fuels to supplement mainland Canada needs.

That being said, we lose other things like royalties, a secondary source of taxation, municipal funding and employment in a new industry. We also lose employment in secondary sourced industries that would supply consumers and industry that use natural gas.

No wind option

A gentleman form a company called Western Wind Energy was on the Business News network a few weeks ago talking about the cost of wind energy right now. His costs put wind energy at $1 million per megawatt generated and installed being done by Asian wind energy companies now. Estimates for wind energy generation vary anywhere between seven cents, to upwards of fifteen cents a megawatt of generation. I really don’t know what the potential could be for lower cost electricity to the end user (consumer) here, but, I believe we are missing a key ingredient in the mix of our energy options and why we should be doing it in the first place.

No Conservation option and “choice”

We are fast getting to be a society that cares about what happens to our environment. Simply put, we are talking a lot about consumption of electricity and not enough about conservation of energy. Cost may be argued as a final arbiter of what the consumer uses, but “choice” is missing in the mix that brings affordability in line with consumer need. I’m asking that the Public Utilities Board consider the factor of consumer affordability in its further deliberations on the viability of the Muskrat Falls project. While discussions are ongoing, the fact is that we can in fact, take the demand off electrical needs by introducing natural gas as an alternative energy option. Not only will we take the pressure off the electrical grid by natural gas users’ switch to that source of heating, we also add further capacity to the “isolated island”. In the end, we can in fact, bring consumer prices for these energy commodities down by allowing the entry of another option like any of these into the consumer-driven marketplace.

Environmental impact

Negating the pressure to find alternative generation of electricity by the development of Muskrat Falls, we get to impact our foot-print on the environment as well. Considering the fact that there was a federal study done of the possible impacts on the Lower Churchill development on Lake Melville, it concerns me that the natural decay of vegetation into the ecosystem from the new reservoir would add another source of mercury to the water system that should be of concern. With Quebec’s development of the James Bay project, there was some concern over mercury levels in the eco-system that was a worry to residents of that water system. I’m going by memory here when I say that there was a correlation between fish in the area and the indigenous peoples who lived there. Links were made between mercury levels there and the situation in Minimata, Japan. Symptoms of Minimata disease were in the areas of the James Bay projects that allowed mercury to enter into the food chain where it affected the people there.

Do we really need this power that bad that we put these things at stake? Are there other things that we could be doing that we aren’t? Can we help make life affordable and cost-effective by allowing other options that aren’t being explored?

My regards and thanks,

George Murphy

Group researcher/member

Consumer Group for Fair Gas Prices

Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Consumers to take a hit

Numbers up across the board

Media release

Conception Bay South, NL, February 28, 2012- Consumers will see an increase at the pumps this week when the Public Utilities Board adjusts prices this Thursday morning. But, if the economic news today is any indication, elevated prices may just start on their way down. That news comes from George Murphy, group researcher with the Consumer Group for Fair Gas Prices.

“Numbers for refined commodities have been up substantially over the past week, but there is a sign today that we could start to see prices come down slightly,” Murphy said. “A drop in US durable goods sales today may be one of the first indicators of a solid slackening in consumer spending, while another report from the US is predicting an increase in crude oil supplies that would also be a strong sign of demand dropping”.

“ Consumers may be already sending a strong message.”

The numbers

“I have to caution that there is volatility in the numbers this week. Heating and stove oils are showing up by 2.23 cents a litre, while diesel fuel is up by close on 2.5 cents a litre. Gasoline shows an added 3.1 cents a litre this week.

However, with yesterday’s market trading, there was a sign of possible relief for next week, if market conditions hold or retreat from this week’s highs. The last day of data is pointing down by 2.6 cents a litre, but we still have a full week to go.”

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For more information, contact;

George Murphy

Group researcher

Consumer Group for Fair Gas Prices

Twitter: @GeorgeMurphyNDP

Monday, February 27, 2012

Numbers are up
Consumers will take a hit this Thursday


It's not going to be easy paying close on a $1.40 a litre here. Things are tight as they are. heating, stove oils and diesel are all showing up this week as oil continues to climb in spite of the realities of the markets.

Demand has faltered...

Total product supplied has dropped right along with it, and Big Oil has put the brakes on added production because they see something coming, and it's not nice.

An economic slowdown in the works maybe?...

regardless, the numbers are up and the speculator out there is going to make us all pay the piper. Here's what I have so far this week, with one more day to go:
  • Heating and stove oils are up again by 2.36 cents a litre.
  • Diesel is up by 3.0 cents a litre, and...
  • Gasoline is up by 3.5 cents a litre.

I'll be back again with the bad news on the final numbers tomorrow night.


Regards,


George