I think they're getting tired myself...
Gas and oil issues as they pertain to the Newfoundland & Labrador,and Canadian consumer.
Friday, May 20, 2011
I think they're getting tired myself...
Thursday, May 19, 2011
NHC announces its hurricane outlook
It's not even into June month yet, but already we're hearing from the US National Hurricane Center (NHC).
You know what that means...
The NHC is making dire predictions on hurricanes this year, calling for upwards of six major hurricanes of a category three or greater nature to form in the Atlantic. Their predictions say that winds from these hurricanes have the potential to blow in with winds up to 111 miles per hour or better.
But keep in mind the storms also do something else.
Hurricane syndrome
They're a harbinger of things to come on the oil front. No doubt that as soon as the first storm gets named and it's on it's way to the eastern seaboard, investors and the speculators will again step in and attempt to speculate on the disaster scenario, thus driving up prices again. I like to call the whole oil play they pull as Hurricane Syndrome.
Just another reason for "made in Canada" pricing...
How much attention will the markets give to the hurricane news remains to be seen.
I will give you my prediction; that someone is going to try to make a dollar from it!
See the release here: http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2011/20110519_atlantichurricaneoutlook.html
Numbers so far
In the meantime, it's only early into the next regulatory session, so, I'll echo a word of caution here. The numbers are again pointing downwards for next Thursday.
Here's what I have so far:
- Heating and stove oils are down by 23/100ths
- Diesel is down by a half cent, and...
- Gasoline is down by 3.8 cents a litre.
That's it for now!
Look for the next note on the numbers when you get back from the May two-four weekend.
Be safe!
George
Tuesday, May 17, 2011
***Footnote to this release.
Spot prices have caved downwards by 12 cents a litre since May 10th, with consumer prices here still expecting another three and some-odd cents to come besides what I have in the release. Look for further breaks as a result next week. At least, that's the indication so far...
Monday, May 16, 2011
Not another price drop!
It's been a wild roller-coaster ride on the markets for the past two weeks now, and there's no sign of abatement. The blog had over 2300 hits from people who, like yourself, wanted answers concerning high prices.
We're all still looking and we're not expecting Minister Tony Clement to come up with any either...
"Keep it simple, Tony."
We need a national inventory reporting system and an investigation into present trading laws on the markets. It's just getting too easy to spend money that you don't have, to invest in the markets and turn into a profit before the bills are paid.
It's as simple as that...
In the meantime, while numbers in the immediate Toronto area will be dropping again tonight, the numbers in Newfoundland and Labrador will also take a drop back this Thursday morning, all in time for the long weekend.
Still one more day of data to get my hands on, so the numbers will change slightly from what I have here, but I don't think that there's going to be anything critical in the way of further changes.
Here's what I have so far this session;
- Heating and stove oils show 14/100ths of a cent upwards.
- Diesel shows an added 3/10ths of a cent upwards, and...
- Gasoline shows a drop of 2.7 cents a litre.
Regards,
George
Tuesday, May 10, 2011
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Monday, May 09, 2011
Put it this way.
Anytime prices come down, it's a good thing, so I guess it's all good so far this week, but it was a much different story than last Thursday when gas numbers showed close on seven cents a litre down.
After the rally in oil prices since Friday, I'm surprised that numbers are still down. I haven't seen volatility in the numbers like this in a long time, but it does show how unstable the markets are. Here's what I have so far this session with Monday trading numbers in the mix:
- Heating and stove oils show down by 7.13 cents a litre.
- Diesel is also down by 7.3 cents a litre, and...
- Gasoline is down by 3.8 cents a litre.
Regards,
George
Saturday, May 07, 2011
Hi to all...
Go light on whatever it is you're buying, let's put it that way...
- Heating and stove oils are down by 7.4 cents a litre.
- Diesel is down by 7.6 cents a litre, and...
- Gasoline shows down by 4.6 cents a litre.
Thursday, May 05, 2011
As you are all probably aware now, there is a huge sell-off in the markets today on some bad economic news and a rising US dollar against other currencies. It seems that yesterday's inventory data also was enough to give investors a good scare, so it's to the bottom of the tank for oil prices and their related, refined commodities.
As of 4:20 PM Newfoundland time today, oil prices have plummeted $9.50 US, I think the largest single day sell-off of oil in recent memory, if not just a record over all!
Gasoline is also showing down by 24 cents a US gallon, or close on 6.5 a litre plus taxes here. Look for a major drop in prices next week, if this news today keeps up for the rest of the week. You may want to go VERY LIGHT on any fuel purchases before then.
Regards for now!
George Murphy
Tuesday, May 03, 2011
First off, thanks for getting out and voting at this weeks federal election. The New Democrats now have official opposition status now, which entitles them to lead the tone of questions and debate in the House of Commons. It also means that our issue of the tax on heat will be just one matter on the front burner of the party's agenda to Canadians, so hopefully, we'll see some action on this one soon as the New Democrats hold the Conservatives feet to the fire on the issue.
It didn't happen...
- Stove and heating oils show an added 86/100ths of a cent upwards.
- Diesel numbers show an added 4/10ths of a cent upwards, but based on four days of data.
- Gasoline shows an added 1.1 cents a litre upwards.
Thursday, April 28, 2011
"With this adjustment, the pricing methodology for the calculation of the maximum price of
furnace oil heating fuel and diesel motor fuel on the island will be adjusted to reflect changes in
the specifications of the products supplied in the market. The specific changes are:
the maximum price of furnace oil heating fuel will be calculated based on 100% No. 2
oil, replacing the blend of 75% jet fuel and 25% No. 2 oil; and,
the maximum price of diesel motor fuel supplied on the island will be calculated based on
George
Tuesday, April 26, 2011
- Heating and stove oils show down by 1.05 cents per litre.
- Diesel shows down by 8/10ths of a cent, and...
- Gasoline shows up by 6/10ths of a cent.
I will finish off with one last word...
If you deem it too political, then please tune out.
For the past fourteen years, I have worked closely on behalf of the consumer in pursuit of the complete removal of the HST from all forms of heat.
On Monday coming, you will be given the chance to vote for a political party here in Canada that will act to remove this evil and unnecessary tax from an important commodity that we use everyday, and that also is deemed as a necessity of life and a growing health concern for some. While we have met with success provincially in removing the tax, the federal wing of the New Democratic Party under Jack Layton has as part of it's platform, the removal of the remaining five per cent HST on heat.
We are THIS CLOSE to having the tax removed once and for all.
I am asking my readers nationally and here in the province of Newfoundland and Labrador to keep the NDP in mind when they consider where to park their vote come election day. The removal of the remaining HST on all heat will come as soon as 100 days after the election of a strong Layton mandate.
It's been so long, and we are so close...
Monday, April 25, 2011
What's for this week, I wonder?
Out doing the door to door thing, and loving it, of course!
I hope that everyone out there is going to get out and vote. Remember that you alone can sometimes effect change, and it's a change we'll all be looking at if the polls are any indication.
Anyway, here's what I have for this week, with six days reporting. My gasoline number may be off slightly because of a lost day of data at the start of the session, so that number is reflective of five days of data:
- Stove and heating oils show a drop of 1.01 cents per litre (remember the kerosene!)
- Diesel shows a drop of 9/10ths of a cent, and ...
- Gasoline shows an added half cent at this point.
I'll be back tomorrow night, probably later than usual because of the door knocking thing. I hope I can be forgiven for promoting the "5% off heat" agenda! After all, it was fourteen years between successes in getting provincial taxes off heat, I figured that I'd get the early start on the federal tax off heat!...
Any questions, be sure to drop me a note!
Regards,
George
Tuesday, April 19, 2011
As Danny Williams, and now Lorraine Michael said, "We got it!"
Sounds familiar, right?
Today, after being in the budget lock-down, and finding out that the tax had been removed, at least on a provincial level, I had to breathe a sigh of relief that the mission was halfway there.
Why?
Because in today's budget "We got it!" too...
As of October, the provincial portion of the HST will no longer be collected from your heat bill. It was a long, hard haul to this payday, but I am proud to say that the petition drive provincially is now cancelled and we'll start to work on getting that 5 percent removed from heat on a federal level.
Thanks to everyone who participated, especially those who remember signing the petition from our consumer group, and working for the group, all those years ago as well.
"We got it!"....
Never let a dream die, folks!
To add to today's victory for consumers here, there will still be a rebate program for those who need it most; those who will still find it hard to make ends meet. That's the part that Lorraine Michael worked so hard on to maintain, so, a big thanks to her for that!
I'll be back later tonight with another update on where prices will be going for this week's price change.
Regards,
George
Friday, April 15, 2011
Or: You can sign it online at this link here.
Thursday, April 14, 2011
A time for action...
"Whereas; the high cost of energy is proving to be a hardship on the people of the province of Newfoundland and Labrador, and...
whereas; heat is a basic necessity of life and a lack of heat is a health concern,...
we, the undersigned residents of the province of Newfoundland and Labrador hereby urge the House of Assembly to ask the government of Newfoundland and Labrador to remove the provincial portion of the HST from all forms of heat"...
Hi to all...
Ten years ago, on March 28, 2001 our consumer group presented a petition to the House of Assembly requesting that the government of the day remove the tax on heat. Some 55, 000 consumers and residents of the province signed the petition to remove the tax, with those signatures being gathered over a period covering three weekends.
It was one of the largest petitions presented in the House of Assembly up to that point.
All three political parties spoke to the tax on this necessity of life with the governing liberals keeping the tax in place, as they would suffer a loss in revenue, and the conservatives promising to remove the tax if they ever formed the government.
How times have changed!
For the past seven years since the conservatives have formed government, and again on Tuesday, this government will again tell the people of the province of a burgeoning surplus all from improving oil royalties. We will be told that the province’s coffers are again, overflowing with the benefits of added oil revenue.A small part of that reason will also be due to the fact that, with the failure of the government to remove the tax on heat all those years ago, several million of that surplus may very well be because someone in this province had to make a choice between heat and food.
Again, on the tenth anniversary of the presentation of the petition in the House of Assembly, the people of the province will be asked to sign a petition to be presented to the premier and finance minister asking his government for the removal of the tax on heat.
This time it is different and, in some ways, a little more desperate. Oil prices are forecast to remain high for the long term, as are electricity rates also forecast to escalate in the coming years. There is no sign of relief in sight.
That quest begins Friday, April 15th with the start of a movement to get the taxes taken off this necessity of life and also a growing health concern for everyone. With projections of rising electricity costs to consumers yet to come, and no retreat in sight for petroleum product users alike, consumers and residents will be asked to participate in sending a clear message to government. Collecting a tax on a necessity of life is unacceptable in a time when this government (and the federal government) both are enjoying the benefits from our natural resources, and just a short twenty four hours after government-owned NALCOR has applied to the Public Utilities Board for an electricity rate increase to come to consumers on July 1st, 2011...because of the rising cost of oil.
Clearly, it is time to give back to the people who will need it most! Energy costs are rising and no one deserves to pay for a necessity of life.
Tomorrow afternoon, the prayer of petition will be made available on the NDP Party website at www.nl.ndp.ca and also listed on my blog for download and completion. There will be an address to return the signed petition to.
As well, the petition will be emailed, or mailed, to every municipality that is in the 2010 municipal directory. We're hoping that every municipality will post this petition where everyone in their respective communities can avail and sign it, and then send it back to us for presentation in the House of Assembly.
If you do not have an email address but wish to help us in our quest to gather names for this petition, we're asking you to phone us at the NDP offices at (709)729-0270 and we will forward a petition off to you.
Please pass the petition around and get others to participate in this exercise.
There is no greater need, and the time has come to do this now...
Remember.
Oil is trading higher.
Electricity rates are going up.
...and someone out there is being forced to make tough choices.
Regards,
George Murphy
Group researcher
Consumer Group for Fair Gas prices
Tuesday, April 12, 2011
But can they be trusted?
Hi to all...
- Heating and stove oils show an added 2.88 cents up. Keep in mind again that the stove oil number is a rough guide on where heating oil numbers could go.The number is the same as the stove number in the non-winter season. During winter, they throw in kerosene into the stove oil number and that acts as an antifreeze agent.
- Diesel shows an added 2.0 cents a litre up, and...
- Gasoline shows an added 8/10ths of a cent.
The first five days of this session showed oil and related commodities up and still climbing from last week, all on steady demand and a draw-down on inventories.
Sunday, April 10, 2011
Here's what I have for the first five days of this session, but I also have to warn that, because of the major disparities between the figures last week, I can't atone for the accuracy for this week coming. Either way, there's probably enough there to warrant that something is going to happen:
- Heating and stove oils show an added 3.27 cents a litre up.
- Gasoline is up by 1.3 cents, and...
- Diesel is up by 2.3 cents a litre.
Regards,
George
Thursday, April 07, 2011
The numbers for heating oil were off but we already knew that that might happen. As I said often before that the winter heating blend was different and that we could only go by the stove oil number to use as a guide during winter months until I find a source for kerosene. That's because kerosene is used as an anti-freeze agent during the winter months on a 75/25% mixture. That's why the stove oil number was within the margin for error.
As for gasoline? Different story...
I've checked and re-checked, and they still show the same: that increases should have happened that would have taken gas up by five cents a litre.
Thankful?
Yes, but now people may be questioning my accuracy.
I've checked three sources online and all are showing that my numbers are dead on, so, I can't explain the differences. I even went to three different gasoline types and they all showed increases over the past week ranging close to 6.6 cents a litre on gasoline that was supposed to be there. That was for a reformulated blend out of New York harbour, as it is known in the markets.
Conspiracy?
I can't say, but it has been mentioned before that someone may be making calls to someone down the line to hold back on putting the full charge to the consumer in an attempt to discredit. But tonight, the reality is that we got tagged with 2.5 cents at the pumps rather than the five I had, and I really can't go searching for that extra 2.5 cents.
Maybe they made a mistake in their numbers, after all?...
Naaa!...
Maybe they're "banking on it" for later!
Regards,
George
Tuesday, April 05, 2011
George Murphy
group researcher/Member
Consumer Group for Fair Gas Prices